DUELLING IDIOTS AND OTHER PROBABILITY PUZZLERS PDF

Reviews 2 What are your chances of dying on your next flight, being called for jury duty, or winning the lottery? We all encounter probability problems in our everyday lives. In this collection of twenty-one puzzles, Paul Nahin challenges us to think creatively about the laws of probability as they apply in playful, sometimes deceptive, ways to a fascinating array of speculative situations. Games of Russian roulette, problems involving the accumulation of insects on flypaper, and strategies for determining the odds of the underdog winning the World Series all reveal intriguing dimensions to the workings of probability. If idiots A and B alternately take aim at each other with a six-shot revolver containing one bullet, what is the probability idiot A will win?

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Reviews 2 What are your chances of dying on your next flight, being called for jury duty, or winning the lottery? We all encounter probability problems in our everyday lives. In this collection of twenty-one puzzles, Paul Nahin challenges us to think creatively about the laws of probability as they apply in playful, sometimes deceptive, ways to a fascinating array of speculative situations.

Games of Russian roulette, problems involving the accumulation of insects on flypaper, and strategies for determining the odds of the underdog winning the World Series all reveal intriguing dimensions to the workings of probability.

If idiots A and B alternately take aim at each other with a six-shot revolver containing one bullet, what is the probability idiot A will win? What are the chances it will snow on your birthday in any given year? How can researchers use coin flipping and the laws of probability to obtain honest answers to embarrassing survey questions? The solutions are presented here in detail, and many contain a profound element of surprise. Paul J. Nahin is the best-selling author of many popular math books, including Mrs.

He is professor emeritus of electrical engineering at the University of New Hampshire. What Paul Nahin offers is essentially the mathematical equivalent of a collection of Far Side cartoons: a series of quirky vignettes, each with an amusing punchline that reveals something new about an offbeat aspect of reality. Its light-hearted way of explaining serious subjects is a refreshing approach.

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Duelling Idiots and Other Probability Puzzlers

Start your free trial Book Description What are your chances of dying on your next flight, being called for jury duty, or winning the lottery? We all encounter probability problems in our everyday lives. In this collection of twenty-one puzzles, Paul Nahin challenges us to think creatively about the laws of probability as they apply in playful, sometimes deceptive, ways to a fascinating array of speculative situations. Games of Russian roulette, problems involving the accumulation of insects on flypaper, and strategies for determining the odds of the underdog winning the World Series all reveal intriguing dimensions to the workings of probability. Over the years, Nahin, a veteran writer and teacher of the subject, has collected these and other favorite puzzles designed to instruct and entertain math enthusiasts of all backgrounds. If idiots A and B alternately take aim at each other with a six-shot revolver containing one bullet, what is the probability idiot A will win? What are the chances it will snow on your birthday in any given year?

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Shelves: math The author explicitly intends this book to be a list of probability puzzles that are of higher calibre than the ones occasionally presented by Marilyn vos Savant in PARADE magazine the celebrity-gossip insert that comes in the weekend newspaper. One would think that that would be a pretty low bar for a high-quality math text, but on pp , while warning against faulty reasoning by vos Savant and others including Laplace , the author pulls a fast one himself. The scenario concerns a The author explicitly intends this book to be a list of probability puzzles that are of higher calibre than the ones occasionally presented by Marilyn vos Savant in PARADE magazine the celebrity-gossip insert that comes in the weekend newspaper. The scenario concerns a markswoman who picks one of two rifles, each equally likely. Each rifle has a probability p of finding its mark. The markswoman shoots times with the chosen rifle, and finds her mark times. The problem is to find out the probability that she picked rifle 1 and the probability that she picked rifle 2.

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